@article {83144,
	title = {Sixth Oregon Climate Assessment},
	year = {2023},
	note = {{\textquotedblleft}This sixth Oregon Climate Assessment builds on the previous assessments by continuing to evaluate past and projected future changes in Oregon{\textquoteright}s climate and water supply. Like the fifth assessment, it is structured with the goal of supporting the state{\textquoteright}s mitigation planning for natural hazards and implementation of the 2021 Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework.{\textquotedblright} (from the Abstract)},
	pages = {249 p.},
	institution = {Oregon State University. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute },
	address = {Corvallis, Or.},
	keywords = {agriculture, air temperature, climate, climate change, coastal hazards, depleted populations, economics, fish, forest fires, human impact, hydrology, introduced species, phenology, precipitation, sea level, snowpack, terrestrial vegetation, water temperature, wildlife},
	url = {https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/gt54kw197 },
	author = {Fleishman, Erica and Oregon Climate Change Research Institute.,,}
}
@article {83145,
	title = {Future Climate Projections. Tillamook County:  August 2022},
	year = {2022},
	note = {This is a report for the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development. In a complex environment, multiple factors influence the effects of climate change. Nevertheless, {\textquotedblleft}Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of most climate---related risks considered in this report. The risks of heat waves are projected to increase with very high confidence due to strong evidence in published literature, model consensus, and robust theoretical principles for continued increasing temperatures.{\textquotedblright} (from the Abstract)  },
	pages = {87 p.},
	institution = {Oregon State University. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute},
	address = {Corvallis, Or.},
	keywords = {air temperature, climate, climate change, coastal hazards, depleted populations, economics, erosion, fish, floods, forest fires, human impact, hydrology, introduced species, Nehalem River, Nestucca Bay, Netarts Bay, precipitation, Sand Lake, sea level, terrestrial vegetation, Tillamook Bay, water temperature, wetland delineation, wildlife},
	url = {https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/h128nn74w },
	author = {Dalton, Meghan and Fleishman, Erica and Bachelet, Dominique}
}
@article {83246,
	title = {Catastrophic beach sand losses due to erosion from predicted future sea level rise (0.5{\textendash}1.0 m), based on increasing submarine accommodation spaces in the high-wave-energy coast of the Pacific Northwest, Washington, Oregon, and Northern California, USA},
	journal = {Marine Geology},
	volume = {439},
	number = {106555},
	year = {2021},
	note = {At some point in the next hundred years, long walks on a natural beach will be more of a fantasy than a reality. Areas in the inner continental shelf and in estuaries will become sand sinks, or holding areas for beach sand as sea level rise (SLR) covers beach sands. {\textquotedblleft}The existing subcell beach sand volumes and computed new beach sand supplies (rivers and longshore transport) were subtracted from the estimated sand volumes lost to submarine accommodation spaces to establish potential beach sand deficits from near-future SLR. Of the 26 surveyed active-beaches, some 60\% and 80\% (by length) are predicted to be lost, respectively, from the 0.5 m and 1.0 m SLR or equivalent littoral sand sedimentation in submarine accommodation spaces. Projected losses reach 90\% for all PNW beaches (~900 km total length) from 1.0 m SLR{\textquotedblright} (from the Abstract).},
	month = {2021, Sep.},
	keywords = {climate, coastal hazards, coastal processes, erosion, Littoral, Nehalem Bay, Netarts Bay, sea level, Tillamook Bay},
	doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.margeo.2021.106555 },
	url = {https://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/36497 },
	author = {Peterson, Curt D. and Pettit, Don J. and Kingen, Kara and Vanderburgh, Sandy and Rosenfeld, Chuck}
}
@booklet {83066,
	title = {Pacific Northwest Littoral Data},
	year = {2021},
	note = {{\textquotedblleft}This document contains five data tables in PDF file formats, that are used to characterize littoral subcell (beach, river mouth, and inner-shelf) conditions in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) region . . . These data have been compiled from pre-existing data sets . . . for the purposes of predicting possible beach erosion from potential future sea level rise (SLR) . . . The five data tables include Heavy-mineral tracers (Table 1), Heavy-mineral data (normalized) (Table 2), Subcell beach profile settings (Table 3), Subcell beach profile parameters (Table 4), and Subcell shelf profile parameters (Table 5){\textquotedblright} (p.1). The data supports the manuscript Peterson, C. D., Doyle, D. L., Rosenfeld, C. L., Kingen, K., (2020). Predicted Responses of Beaches, Bays, and Inner-Shelf Sand Supplies to Potential Sea Level Rise (0.5-1.0 m) in Three Small Littoral Subcells in the High-Wave-Energy Northern Oregon Coast, USA. Journal of Geography and Geology. v.12:.2. ( https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/geology_fac/189/ )},
	chapter = {2021, Mar.},
	address = {Portland, Or.},
	keywords = {Agate Beach, Alsea River, bathymetry, beach profiles, climate, Columbia River, Coos River, Coquille River, erosion, Florence, Or., heavy minerals, Lincoln City, Or., Nehalem River, Nestucca River, Netarts, Or., Newport, Or., Nye Beach, Otter Rock, Reedsport, Or., Rogue River, Salmon River, Sand Lake, sea level, Seal Rock, Siletz River, Siuslaw River, Sixes River, South Beach, Or., The Capes, Umpqua Jetty, Umpqua River, Whale Cove, Wilson River},
	doi = {https://doi.org/10.15760/geology-data.01},
	url = {https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/geology_data/1/ },
	author = {Peterson, Curt D. and Kingen, Kara E.P.},
	editor = {Portland State University. Geology Department}
}
@article {83064,
	title = {Predicted responses of beaches, bays, and inner-shelf sand supplies to potential sea level rise (0.5-1.0 m) in three small littoral subcells in the high-wave-energy northern Oregon coast, USA},
	journal = {Journal of Geography and Geology},
	volume = {12},
	number = {no.2},
	year = {2020},
	note = {{\textquotedblleft}Three small subcells (Nehalem, Tillamook, and Netarts) totaling ~55 km shoreline length in the high-wave energy northern Oregon coast are evaluated for potential beach sand loss from sea level rise (SLR) of 0.5{\textendash}1.0 m during the next century{\textquotedblright} (from the Abstract).  It doesn{\textquoteright}t look good.  The authors propose that there is {\textquotedblleft}accommodation space{\textquotedblright} offshore where beach sand can go.  They point out that, {\textquotedblleft}The accommodation space approach used to predict beach sand volume loss from future SLR should have broad applicability in complex littoral systems worldwide{\textquotedblright} (from the Abstract).  The data file accompanying this paper, Pacific Northwest Littoral Data (2021), may be found at: https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/geology_data/1/  .},
	pages = {p.1-27},
	keywords = {bathymetry, beach profiles, Cannon Beach, Cape Falcon, Cape Lookout, Cape Meares, climate, erosion, heavy minerals, mathematical modeling, Nehalem Bay, Netarts Bay, sea level, Tillamook Bay},
	doi = {10.5539/jgg.v12n2p1  },
	url = {https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jgg/article/download/0/0/43637/45834 },
	author = {Peterson, Curt D. and Doyle, Debra L. and Rosenfeld, Charles L. and Kingen, Kara E. P.}
}
@article {82891,
	title = {Environmental and morphologic controls on wave-induced dune response},
	journal = {Geomorphology},
	volume = {329},
	year = {2019},
	note = {{\textquotedblleft}Coastal erosion poses a major threat to coastal communities by limiting beach access, endangering backshore infrastructure, and impacting ecologically important environments. The preservation of coastal foredunes, features which provide the first line of defense for liiting backshore flooding is of particular interest as a valuable form of green infrastructure{\textellipsis}{\textquotedblright} (p.108) In this paper, the authors examine factors affecting dune growth and erosion. They compare three different sites on the Northwest Coast:  Oysterville, the Netarts Littoral Cell and South Beach. Field observations were supplemented with a modeling program, and the combination of the two has led to new insights.},
	month = {2019, Mar 15},
	pages = {p.108-128},
	keywords = {Cape Lookout, climate, coastal dunes, coastal hazards, erosion, mathematical modeling, Netarts Littoral Cell, Oysterville (Wa.), sea level, South Beach, wave height, Yaquina Bay},
	doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.12.023 },
	author = {Cohn, Nicholas and Ruggiero, Peter and Garc{\'\i}a-Medina, Gabriel and Anderson, Dylan and Serafina, Katherine A. and Reuben Biel, Reuben}
}
@article {82041,
	title = {Modeling Sea Level Rise Impacts to Oregon{\textquoteright}s Tidal Wetlands: Maps and Prioritization Tools to Help Plan for Habitat Conservation into the Future},
	year = {2017},
	note = {This study tracks possible conditions for Oregon coastal wetlands under six possible sea level rise scenarios between 2017 and 2160.  {\textquotedblleft}If tidal wetland plant communities are unable to survive the increased inundation associated with sea level rise, they will have to move to higher ground through dispersal of seeds, roots, or rhizomes. This process is called "landward migration," and the areas that could become future tidal wetlands are called {\textquotedblleft}landward migration zones{\textquotedblright} (LMZs) in this study.{\textquotedblright} (p.5) Potential landward migration zones are mapped. Maps, charts, color photographs. This document is accompanied by maps, a PowerPoint presentation, a file of geospatial data, and a poster. {\textquotedblleft}Prepared for: MidCoast Watersheds Council, Newport, Oregon.{\textquotedblright}  {\textquotedblleft}With assistance from: Fran Recht, Pacific States Marine Fisheries Commission.{\textquotedblright}  },
	pages = {64 p.},
	institution = {Institute for Applied Ecology. Estuary Technical Group},
	address = {Corvallis, Or.},
	keywords = {Alsea Bay, Beaver Creek, climate, habitats, human impacts, Netarts Bay, salinity, Salmon River Estuary, sea level, Siletz Bay, Siuslaw River estuary, Umpqua River estuary, wetland vegetation, wetlands, Yachats River estuary, Yaquina Bay},
	url = {https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/tt44ps38k },
	author = {Brophy, Laura S. and Ewald, Michael J.}
}
@article {76911,
	title = {A sea-level database for the Pacific coast of central North America},
	journal = {Quaternary Science Reviews},
	volume = {113},
	year = {2015},
	note = {When the glaciers melted at the end of the last ice age, sea levels along the Pacific Coast of North America did not rise uniformly.  Areas where the earth had been pressed down by the weight of glaciers saw relatively little sea level rise, as the land rebounded when the weight was removed.  Sites further away from the great glaciers saw higher sea levels.  In this paper, the authors describe a database of sea levels and reference points for the last 16,000 years in our area.  Appendices give reference points, descriptions, and referenced publications.  Interestingly, Alsea Bay in Appendix 1 is spelled {\textquotedblleft}Alsey Bay.{\textquotedblright}},
	month = {2015, Apr. 1},
	pages = {p.78-92},
	keywords = {Alsea Bay, Coos Bay, Coquille River, geology, Glaciation, Nehalem River, Nestucca Bay, Netarts Bay, paleosciences, Salmon River, sea level, Siletz Bay, Siuslaw River estuary, Yaquina Bay},
	doi = {10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.12.001},
	author = {Engelhart, Simon E. and Vacchi, Matteo and Horton, Benjamin P. and Nelson, Alan R. and Kopp, Robert E.}
}
@article {52406,
	title = {Impacts of Predicted Global Sea-Level Rise on Oregon Beaches and Tidelands},
	volume = {Paper 45},
	year = {2013},
	note = {This report consists of two sections, one on the impact of climate change and its associated sea level rise on Oregon{\textquoteright}s beaches, and another on the impact on Oregon tidelands and estuaries. {\textquotedblleft}Two background sections on the expected impacts from predicted sea level rise on the Oregon coast were prepared for Oregon Shores Conservation Coalition{\textquoteright}s {\textquoteleft}Coastal Climate Change Adaptation Project . . . . The two sections are developed for broad distribution to coastal residents, community leaders, government agencies, and other interested parties. The two non-technical sections use geometric or gradient change approaches to illustrate potential impacts of shoreline retreat and tideland submergence under conditions of accelerated global sea level rise, as predicted for the next century or two.{\textquotedblright} (from the Introduction)},
	pages = {19 p.},
	institution = {Portland State University. Dept. of Geology,},
	keywords = {beaches, climate change, earthquakes, erosion, estuaries, flooding, general, marshes, Oregon, salinity, sea level, subsidence, wetlands},
	url = {https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/geology_fac/45/},
	author = {Peterson, Curt D.}
}
@article {51416,
	title = {Inter-specific variation in salinity effects on germination in Pacific Northwest tidal wetland plants},
	journal = {Aquatic Botany},
	volume = {111},
	year = {2013},
	note = {The authors used 162 reference plots in Yaquina, Coquille, Netarts and Alsea Bays to look at the distribution of marsh plants and establish the salinity ranges for their distribution.  {\textquotedblleft}The effects of future climate change on coastal estuaries are yet unknown, but changes such as sea-level rise and reduced precipitation in coastal watersheds are likely to increase salinity in high intertidal marshes and swamps.  . . . Our data show that elevated salinity may lower germination rates in a number of common Pacific Northwest wetland species, suggesting potential changes in plant composition through impacts on seed germination and establishment.{\textquotedblright}},
	pages = {p.104-111},
	keywords = {Alsea Bay, Bearberry honeysuckle = Lonicera involucrate, Chickenclaws = Sarcocornia perennis, climate change, Common yarrow = Achillea millefolium, Coquille River estuary, Creeping bentgrass = Agrostis stolonifera, Criter{\textquoteright}s Moorage, Douglas aster = Symphyotrichum subspicatum, ecosystem modeling, germination, Hatfield Marine Science Center, Juncus balticus ssp. ater, Meadow barley = Hordeum brachyantherum, Netarts Bay, Oregon gumplant = Grindelia stricta, Poole Slough, salinity, salt marsh, Salt sandspurry = Spergularia salina, sea level, Sea plantain = Plantago maritime, Seaside arrowgrass = Triglochin maritime, Tufted hairgrass = Deschampsia cespitosa, wetland vegetation, Yaquina Bay},
	doi = {10.1016/j.aquabot.2013.06.009},
	author = {Janousek, Christopher N. and Folger, Christina L.}
}
@inbook {36371,
	title = {U.S. Pacific Northwest coastal hazards:  tectonic and climate controls},
	booktitle = {Coastal Hazards},
	series = {Coastal Research Library},
	volume = {6},
	year = {2012},
	note = {This is a comprehensive, up-to-date and important discussion of coastal hazards. There{\textquoteright}s an excellent discussion of historic problems, a good look at current issues, and a chilling discussion of the implications of rising sea levels and climate change.  Charts, b+w and color photographs.  Anyone considering purchasing property at the coast should read this first.},
	publisher = {Springer Science Media},
	organization = {Springer Science Media},
	chapter = {Chapter 21},
	address = {Dordrecht Netherlands},
	keywords = {Alsea Bay, Alsea Spit, Bayocean Spit, Cape Lookout State Park, climate change, coastal hazards, Columbia River, dunes, earthquakes, El Nino, erosion, flooding, geology, Gleneden Beach, historical, jetties, Lincoln City (Or.), Lincoln City Littoral Cell, minerals, Neskowin (Or.), Nestucca River, Nestucca Spit, Netarts Bay, Netarts Spit, Newport (Or.), Pacific City (Or.), Rockaway (Or.), sea level, sediments, Siletz Bay, Siletz Spit, tidal data, Tillamook Bay, tsunamis, wave heights, Willapa Bay, Yaquina Bay},
	isbn = { 9789400752344},
	doi = {10.1007/978-94-007-5234-4},
	author = {Komar, Paul D. and Allan, Jonathan C. and Ruggiero, Peter}
}
@inbook {51326,
	title = {Impacts of climate change on Oregon{\textquoteright}s coasts and estuaries},
	booktitle = {Oregon Climate Assessment Report},
	year = {2010},
	note = {This is Chapter 6 of the Oregon Climate Assessment Report. Predicts {\textquotedblleft}Increased winter{\textendash}early spring flow of coastal rivers and creeks and reduced flow during summer{\textquotedblright} for the Umpqua River (p.242)},
	pages = {p.211-268},
	publisher = {Oregon State University. College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute,},
	organization = {Oregon State University. College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute,},
	address = {Corvallis, Or.},
	keywords = {Alsea Bay, Alsea Spit, bacteria, Bayocean Spit, climate change, climate precipitation, coastal hazards, Columbia River estuary, Coos Bay, dissolved oxygen, El Nino, erosion, estuaries, geology, landslides, Nehalem Bay, Nehalem Spit, Neskowin (Or.), Netarts Bay, ocean acidification, Rockaway Beach, salinity, Salmon River Estuary, sea level, Siletz Bay, Tillamook Bay, water temperature, wave heights, Yachats River, Yaquina Bay},
	url = {https://digital.osl.state.or.us/islandora/object/osl\%3A637577},
	author = {Ruggiero, Peter and Brown, Cheryl A. and Komar, Paul D. and Allan, Jonathan C. and Reusser, Deborah A. and Lee II, Henry},
	editor = {Dello, Kathie and Mote, Philip W.}
}
